How good are we at predicting the future

[Ibi Sum]

If we'd all invested a thousand whatever's into bitcoin when it first appeared in the music-bar radar, we'd all be multimillionaires by now...

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seclorum 

> On Aug 19, 2017, at 19:20, Peter Korsten <peter at severity-one.com> wrote:
> 
> OK, this is a long shot, and mostly based on my memory. It's interesting to know that I have the uncanny ability of predicting the exact opposite of what's going to happen. For example, I didn't think the iPhone would be a success. :-D
> 
> But I distinctly remember Jay predicting that with YouTube, we'd be making our own TV. (Obviously, I was sceptical.) And these days, I don't bother watching TV, I just watch Netflix and YouTube (which was first mentioned on the Bar in 2006.)
> 
> Also, we've been discussing the Ultimate Synth at times, and I remember somebody mentioning a Like button. And guess what? I'm watching a video of the Nord Lead A1, and it has a Like button, complete with a "thumbs up" icon.
> 
> Do you guys remember anything from the past decade or two that eventually became reality? And why aren't we all a lot richer because of that? :-)
> 
> - Peter
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